Incidence and Predictors of Mortality among Community-Dwelling Older Adults in Malaysia: A 5 Years Longitudinal Study

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Jul 22;19(15):8943. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19158943.

Abstract

With older adults accounting for 10.7% of the Malaysian population, determining the predictors of mortality has now become crucial. Thus, this community-based longitudinal study aimed to investigate the predictors for mortality among community-dwelling older adults using a wide range of factors, including clinical or subclinical. A total of 2322 older adults were interviewed and assessed by trained fieldworkers using validated structured questionnaires. The questionnaire consisted of information on socio-demographic characteristics, health status, neuropsychological and psychosocial functions, lifestyle, dietary intake and biophysical measures. The incidence rate of mortality was 2.9 per 100 person-years. Cox regression analysis indicated that advancing age (Adjusted Hazard Ratio, Adj HR = 1.044, 95% CI: 1.024-1.064), male (Adj HR = 1.937, 95% CI: 1.402-2.675), non-married status (Adj HR = 1.410, 95% CI: 1.078-1.843), smoking (Adj HR = 1.314, 95% CI: 1.004-1.721), a higher fasting blood sugar (Adj HR = 1.075, 95% CI: 1.029-1.166), a lower serum albumin (Adj HR = 0.947, 95% CI: 0.905-0.990), a longer time to complete the TUG test (Adj HR = 1.059, 95% CI: 1.022-1.098), and a lower intake of total dietary fibre (Adj HR = 0.911, 95% CI: 0.873-0.980) were the predictors of mortality in this study. These findings provide an estimated rate of multiethnic mortality in middle-income countries and diet is one of the predictors. These predictors of mortality could be a reference in identifying new public health strategies to ensure longer healthier life spans with lower disability rate among community-dwelling older adults in Malaysia.

Keywords: community; incidence; mortality; older adults; predictors.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Chronic Disease / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Independent Living*
  • Life Style*
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Malaysia / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Mortality*

Grants and funding

This work was supported by the Long-term Research Grant Scheme (LGRS) provided by the Ministry of Higher Education, Malaysia (LRGS/1/2019/UM-UKM/1/4, LRGS/BU/2012/UKM-UKM/K/01) and Grand Challenge Grant Project 1 and Project 2 (DCP-2017-002/1, DCP-2017-002/2) funded by Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia.