Predicting isoscapes based on an environmental similarity model for the geographical origin of Chinese rice

Abstract

The authentication of geographical origin of food is important using stable isotope analysis. However, the isotopic databank is still short of comprehensive. The isoscapes model based on environmental similarity is used for the first time to predict the geospatial distribution of δ¹³C, δ²H and δ¹⁸O in Chinese rice in 2017 and 2018. 794 rice samples in 2017 were used to build isoscapes model. Independent verification shows that the predicted isotope distribution from this new approach is of high accuracy, with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.51 ‰, 7.09 ‰ and 2.06 ‰ for δ¹³C, δ²H and δ¹⁸O values for 2017, respectively. Our results indicate that it is possible to predict the spatial distribution of stable isotopes in rice using an isoscapes model based on environmental similarity. This novel strategy can enrich and complement a stable isotope reference database for rice origin identification at regional scale.

Keywords: Environmental similarity; Geographical origin; Isoscapes; Rice; Stable isotope.