Combining Clinical Parameters and Acute Tubular Injury Grading Is Superior in Predicting the Prognosis of Deceased-Donor Kidney Transplantation: A 7-Year Observational Study

Abstract

Background: We developed a pragmatic dichotomous grading criterion to stratify the acute tubular injury (ATI) of deceased-donor kidneys. We intended to verify the predictive value of this criterion for the prognosis of deceased-donor kidney transplantation.

Methods: The allografts with ATI were classified into severe and mild groups. Severe ATI was defined as the presence of extreme and diffuse flattening of the tubular epithelial cells, or denudement of the tubular basement membrane. The clinical delayed graft function (DGF) risk index was calculated based on a regression model for posttransplant DGF using 17 clinical parameters related to donor-recipient characteristics.

Results: A total of 140 recipients were enrolled: 18 severe and 122 mild ATI. Compared with the mild ATI group, the severe ATI group had more donors after cardiac death, higher median donor terminal serum creatinine level (dScr), and longer median cold ischemia time. Severe ATI had a higher DGF rate (55.6% vs 14.6%, p < 0.001), longer DGF recovery time (49.6 vs 26.3 days, p < 0.001), and a lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at 1 month (23.5 vs 54.0 ml/min/1.73 m², p < 0.001), 3 months (40.4 vs 59.0, p = 0.001), and 6 months after transplant (46.8 vs 60.3, p = 0.033). However, there was no significant difference in eGFR at 1 year or beyond, graft, and patient survival. The predictive value of combined dScr with ATI severity for DGF rate and DGF recovery time was superior to that of dScr alone. The predictive value of the combined DGF risk index with ATI severity for DGF was also better than that of the DGF risk index alone; however, the association of the DGF risk index with DGF recovery time was not identified. Chronic lesions including glomerulosclerosis, interstitial fibrosis, arterial intimal fibrosis, and arteriolar hyalinosis were associated with declined posttransplant 1-year eGFR.

Conclusion: Based on our pragmatic dichotomous grading criterion for ATI in a preimplantation biopsy, donor kidneys with severe ATI increased DGF risk, prolonged DGF recovery, and decreased short-term graft function but demonstrated favorable long-term graft function. Our grading method can offer additive valuable information for assessing donor kidneys with acute kidney injury and may act as an effective supplementary index of the Banff criteria.

Keywords: acute tubular injury; deceased donor; delayed graft function; kidney transplantation; pretransplant biopsy.