Testability of high-dimensional linear models with nonsparse structures

Ann Stat. 2022 Apr;50(2):615-639. doi: 10.1214/19-aos1932. Epub 2022 Apr 7.

Abstract

Understanding statistical inference under possibly non-sparse high-dimensional models has gained much interest recently. For a given component of the regression coefficient, we show that the difficulty of the problem depends on the sparsity of the corresponding row of the precision matrix of the covariates, not the sparsity of the regression coefficients. We develop new concepts of uniform and essentially uniform non-testability that allow the study of limitations of tests across a broad set of alternatives. Uniform non-testability identifies a collection of alternatives such that the power of any test, against any alternative in the group, is asymptotically at most equal to the nominal size. Implications of the new constructions include new minimax testability results that, in sharp contrast to the current results, do not depend on the sparsity of the regression parameters. We identify new tradeoffs between testability and feature correlation. In particular, we show that, in models with weak feature correlations, minimax lower bound can be attained by a test whose power has the n rate, regardless of the size of the model sparsity.

Keywords: Confidence intervals; Minimax theory; Primary 62C20, 62F03; Secondary 62F30, 62J07; Uniform non-testability; ℓ2-constraint.