Assessing the combined effects of temperature, precipitation, total ecological footprint, and carbon footprint on rice production in Nigeria: a dynamic ARDL simulations approach

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Dec;29(56):85005-85025. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-21656-2. Epub 2022 Jul 5.

Abstract

The present study aims to investigate the combined effects of temperature, precipitation, ecological footprint, carbon footprints, rice plant area harvested, and fertilizer use on Nigeria's rice production by using data from 1971 to 2018. The study used the bounds test for cointegration and the novel dynamic ARDL (DYNARDL) simulation approach. The bounds test shows a long-run relationship. The empirical results show that temperature has a positive long-run effect on rice production; however, this result is insignificant. Furthermore, rainfall has a negative long-run effect on rice production. The ecological footprint has a positive long-run effect on rice production. In contrast, carbon footprint has a negative long-run effect on rice production. For non-climatic input factors, potash fertilizer has positive short-run and long-run effects on rice production, and rice area harvested has a positive but insignificant long-run effect on rice production. The study provides valuable policy directions for the policymakers in Nigeria.

Keywords: Carbon footprint; Climate change; DYNARDL; Dynamic autoregressive distributed lag simulation; Ecological footprint; Nigeria; Potash fertilizer; Precipitation; Rainfall; Rice production; Temperature.

MeSH terms

  • Carbon Dioxide / analysis
  • Carbon Footprint*
  • Economic Development
  • Fertilizers
  • Nigeria
  • Oryza*
  • Temperature

Substances

  • Carbon Dioxide
  • Fertilizers