Aim: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of first-line treatment for advanced renal cell carcinoma with nivolumab plus cabozantinib versus sunitinib from a US payer perspective. Methods: Economic outcomes were estimated with Markov and partitioned survival models. Efficacy, safety and other data were taken from the CheckMate 9ER trial. Costs and utilities were gathered from published sources. Sensitivity analyses addressed model uncertainties. Results: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of nivolumab plus cabozantinib versus sunitinib was US$555,663 and $531,748 per quality-adjusted life year in the Markov and partitioned survival models, respectively, exceeding the willingness-to-pay threshold (US$150,000 per quality-adjusted life-year). Sensitivity analyses showed robust outcomes. Conclusion: From a US payer perspective, first-line nivolumab plus cabozantinib for advanced renal cell carcinoma is not cost effective.
Keywords: cabozantinib; cost–effectiveness; nivolumab; renal cell carcinoma; sunitinib.
Renal cell carcinoma (RCC) is a common cancer in the USA. Up to 30% of patients with RCC are in an advanced stage of disease at diagnosis. RCC is difficult to cure, with an 11% chance of survival after 5 years for patients with advanced RCC. A recent clinical study showed that nivolumab plus cabozantinib (NC) had a greater benefit in patients with advanced RCC than sunitinib. The US FDA approved NC for advanced RCC, but NC is relatively expensive. This study explored the cost–effectiveness of NC for advanced RCC versus sunitinib for a US payer using two cost–effectiveness models developed based on the results of the aforementioned clinical study. The results showed that to gain an additional year in perfect health, NC costs an average of US$555,663 or $531,748 more versus sunitinib, which is more than a US payer is willing to pay for an additional year in perfect health ($150,000). Therefore, NC for advanced RCC is not cost-effective versus sunitinib for a US payer at current prices.