Shifting of virus serotypes and clade replacement events are known to drive dengue epidemics. However, only a few studies have attempted to elucidate the virus attributes that contribute to such epidemics. In 2007, Singapore experienced a dengue outbreak affecting more than 8000 individuals. The outbreak ensued with the shuffling of dominant clades (from clade I to clade II) of Dengue virus 2 (DENV-2) cosmopolitan genotype, at a time when the Aedes premise index was significantly low. Therefore, we hypothesized that clade II had higher epidemic potential and fitness than clade I. To test this hypothesis, we tested the replication and apoptotic qualities of clade I and II isolates in mammalian cells and their ability to infect and disseminate in a field strain of Ae. Aegypti. Our findings indicated that clade II replicated more efficiently in mammalian cells than clade I and possessed higher transmission potential in local vectors. This could collectively improve the epidemic potential of clade II, which dominated during the outbreak in 2007. The findings exemplify complex interactions between the emergence, adaptation and transmission potential of DENV, and testify the epidemiological importance of a deeper understanding of virus and vector dynamics in endemic regions.
Keywords: Aedes aegypti; Dengue virus 2; clade replacement; epidemic potential; fitness; transmission.