Classical and Bayesian inference of the weighted-exponential distribution with an application to insurance data

Math Biosci Eng. 2022 Apr 26;19(7):6551-6581. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2022309.

Abstract

This paper addresses asymmetric flexible two-parameter exponential model called the weighted exponential (WDEx) distribution. Some of its basic mathematical features are evaluated. Its hazard rate accommodates upside-down bathtub, decreasing, decreasing-constant, increasing, and increasing-constant shapes. Five actuarial indicators are studied. We utilize nine classical and Bayesian approaches of estimation for estimating the WDEx parameters. We provide a detailed simulation study to explore and assess the asymptotic behaviors of these estimators. Two approximation methods called the Markov chain Mont Carlo and Tierney and Kadane are applied to obtain the Bayesian estimates. The efficiency and applicability of the WDEx distribution are explored by modeling a lifetime data set from insurance field, showing that the WDEx distribution provides a superior fit over its competing exponential models such as the beta-exponential, Harris extend-exponential, Marshall-Olkin exponential, Marshall-Olkin alpha-power exponential, gamma Weibull, and exponentiated-Weibull distributions.

Keywords: Bayes estimation; Tierney and Kadane approximation; exponential distribution; insurance data; maximum likelihood estimation; risk measures.

MeSH terms

  • Bayes Theorem
  • Computer Simulation
  • Insurance*
  • Models, Statistical*