Progression-Free Survival and Local Control After SABR for up to 5 Oligometastases: An Analysis From the Population-Based Phase 2 SABR-5 Trial

Abstract

Purpose: Despite increasing utilization of SABR for oligometastatic cancer, prospective outcomes are lacking. The purpose of this study was to determine progression-free survival (PFS), local control (LC), and prognostic factors from the population-based phase 2 SABR-5 trial.

Methods and materials: The SABR-5 trial was a single-arm phase 2 study with the primary endpoint of toxicity, conducted at the 6 regional cancer centers across British Columbia (BC), Canada, during which time SABR for oligometastases was only offered on trial. Patients with up to 5 oligometastases (total or not controlled by prior treatment and including induced oligometastatic disease) underwent SABR to all lesions. Patients were 18 years of age or older, had an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group score of 0 to 2, and had life expectancy ≥ 6 months. The secondary outcomes of PFS and LC are presented here.

Results: Between November 2016 and July 2020, 381 patients underwent SABR on trial. Median follow-up was 27 months (interquartile range, 18-36). Median PFS was 15 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 12-18). LC at 1 and 3 years were 93% (95% CI, 91-95) and 87% (95% CI, 84-90), respectively. On multivariable analysis, increasing tumor diameter (hazard ratio [HR], 1.09; P < .001), declining performance status (HR, 2.13; P < .001), disease-free interval <18 months (HR, 1.52; P = .003), 4 or more metastases at SABR (HR, 1.48; P = .048), initiation or change in systemic treatment (HR, 0.50; P < .001), and oligoprogression (HR, 1.56; P = .008) were significant independent predictors of PFS. Tumor diameter (sub-hazard ratio [SHR], 1.28; P < .001), colorectal histology (SHR, 4.33; P = .002), and "other" histology (SHR, 3.90; P < .001) were associated with worse LC.

Conclusions: In this population-based cohort including patients with genuine oligometastatic, oligoprogressive, and induced oligometastatic disease, the median PFS was 15 months and LC at 3 years was 87%. This supports ongoing efforts to randomize patients in phase 3 trials, even outside the original 1 to 5 metachronous oligometastatic paradigm.