Improved estimation of global gross primary productivity during 1981-2020 using the optimized P model

Abstract

Accurate estimation of terrestrial gross primary productivity (GPP) is essential for quantifying the net carbon exchange between the atmosphere and biosphere. Light use efficiency (LUE) models are widely used to estimate GPP at different spatial scales. However, difficulties in proper determination of maximum LUE (LUE_max) and downregulation of LUE_max into actual LUE result in uncertainties in GPP estimated by LUE models. The recently developed P model, as a LUE-like model, captures the deep mechanism of photosynthesis and simplifies parameterization. Site level studies have proved the outperformance of P model over LUE models. However, the global application of the P model is still lacking. Thus, the effectiveness of 5 water stress factors integrated into the P model was compared. The optimal P model was used to generate a new long-term (1981-2020) global monthly GPP dataset at a spatial resolution of 0.1° × 0.1°, called PGPP. Validation at globally distributed 109 FLUXNET sites indicated that PGPP is better than three widely-used GPP products. R² between PGPP and observed GPP equals to 0.75, the corresponding root mean squared error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) equal to 1.77 g C m^-2 d^-1 and 1.28 g C m^-2 d^-1. During the period from 1981 to 2020, PGPP significantly increased in 69.02% of global vegetated regions (p < 0.05). Overall, PGPP provides a new GPP product choice for global ecology studies and the comparison of various water stress factors provides a new idea for the improvement of GPP model in the future.

Keywords: Globe; Gross primary productivity; Light use efficiency; Optimized P model; Water stress factor.