Drought is one of the main disasters causing agricultural production losses. Accurate and effective agricultural drought monitoring is of great significance to reduce agricultural production losses. In this study, the standardized soil moisture index for agricultural drought evaluation was established by using the historical time series of soil moisture. Based on the index, the temporal and spatial distribution of drought events in the Luanhe River Basin from 2002 to 2019 were analyzed, and the agricultural drought was quantitatively evaluated. The results showed that soil moisture of most grid units in the Luanhe River Basin obeyed normal distribution during the study period, and that the soil moisture of a few grid units obeyed generalized extreme distribution. The changes of drought and flood in each grid unit had good temporal consistency, that is, the changes of drought and flood was consistent. The changes of drought and flood in the middle of the basin was relatively significant, while the agricultural drought generally showed a trend of reduction. The spatial distribution of agricultural drought severity was not obvious. Relatively speaking, the drought characteristics (the frequency, duration and intensity of drought) were higher in the middle and northwest of the basin and lower in the southeast. The results could provide a reference for agricultural drought prediction and the formulation of drought prevention and mitigation measures in the Luanhe River Basin.
干旱是造成农业生产损失的主要灾害之一,及时、准确地监测农业干旱对于降低作物生产损失具有重要意义。本研究基于土壤含水量历史时间序列数据构建了标准化土壤湿度指数,分析了滦河流域2002—2019年干旱时空分布变化规律,并对农业干旱进行定量评价。结果表明: 研究期间,滦河流域内大部分栅格单元土壤含水量在时间上以正态分布为主,少部分栅格单元为广义极值分布。各栅格单元在时间上的旱涝变化具有良好的一致性,即呈现一致的变旱或变涝,且流域中部旱涝变化相对显著,农业干旱总体呈减轻趋势。滦河流域农业干旱严重程度的空间分布不明显,其中,流域中部和西北部各干旱特征值(干旱发生频率、干旱历时及干旱烈度)较高,东南部较低。本研究结果可为滦河流域农业干旱预测和防旱减灾措施的制定提供参考依据。.
Keywords: Luanhe River Basin; agricultural drought; drought evaluation; standardized soil moisture index.