The Eurotransplant Senior Program allocates kidneys to elderly transplant patients. The aim of this retrospective study is to investigate the use of computed tomography (CT) body composition using artificial intelligence (AI)-based tissue segmentation to predict patient and kidney transplant survival. Body composition at the third lumbar vertebra level was analyzed in 42 kidney transplant recipients. Cox regression analysis of 1-year, 3-year and 5-year patient survival, 1-year, 3-year and 5-year censored kidney transplant survival, and 1-year, 3-year and 5-year uncensored kidney transplant survival was performed. First, the body mass index (BMI), psoas muscle index (PMI), skeletal muscle index (SMI), visceral adipose tissue (VAT), and subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) served as independent variates. Second, the cut-off values for sarcopenia and obesity served as independent variates. The 1-year uncensored and censored kidney transplant survival was influenced by reduced PMI (p = 0.02 and p = 0.03, respectively) and reduced SMI (p = 0.01 and p = 0.03, respectively); 3-year uncensored kidney transplant survival was influenced by increased VAT (p = 0.04); and 3-year censored kidney transplant survival was influenced by reduced SMI (p = 0.05). Additionally, sarcopenia influenced 1-year uncensored kidney transplant survival (p = 0.05), whereas obesity influenced 3-year and 5-year uncensored kidney transplant survival. In summary, AI-based body composition analysis may aid in predicting short- and long-term kidney transplant survival.
Keywords: Eurotransplant Senior Program (ESP); artificial intelligence (AI); body composition; computed tomography (CT); kidney transplant; transplantation.