Selection of optimal models for predicting growth stress in Artemisia desertorum by comparison of linear regression and multiple neural networks: Take the construction of a green mine in the Bayan Obo mine as an example

Abstract

In recent years, more and more countries are focusing on the control of mining sites and the surrounding ecological environment, and the new environmental concept of green mines has been proposed. By investigating the ecological background of a mine site, pollution and ecological imbalances in the mine can be predicted, managed or transformed. This study investigated the effects of rare earth elements on plant growth in the Baotou Bayan Obo Rare Earth Mine and evaluated soil contamination and subsequent remediation through the measured plant height. Using linear regression, BP(Back Propagation) neural networks, GA-BP(Genetic Algorithm- Back Propagation) neural networks, ELM(Extreme Learning Machine) and GA-ELM(Genetic Algorithm- Extreme Learning Machine) model prediction instruments, the different rare earth solution concentrations were set as input values and the heights of Artemisia desertorum, which as the model plant, were set as output values in the prediction. The results showed that the linear regression predicted the standard error of single La(III), Ce(III) solution and compound La(III) + Ce(III) solution for Artemisia desertorum growth stress was on the high side, 7.02%- 8.92%; the efficiency range of each group of models under BP neural network, GA-BP neural network and ELM neural network were 1.15%- 2.53%, 0.85%- 1.28%, 1.76%- 3.53%; while the efficiency range under GA-ELM neural network was 0.59%- 0.68%, with average error values and predicted values close to the true values. Among them, the MAPE of GA-ELM neural network are significantly lower than other models, and the error decreases with increasing concentration of the compound solution. So GA-ELM neural network can be used as an efficient, fast and reasonable optimal model for predicting the growth stress of Artemisia desertorum in Bayan Obo mining area. The experimental results can provide a theoretical basis for assessing the risk of soil rare earth contamination in the area, evaluating the expectation of later remediation, and provide a degree of new ideas for the construction of green mines.

Keywords: BP Neural Network; Bayan Obo mining area; ELM; GA; Green Mining; Linear regression.