Objectives: Liver cirrhosis is a well-known risk factor of mortality after cardiac surgery, but not considered in the widely used EuroSCOREII (ESII). The objective was to analyse the performance of the ESII, the Child-Pugh-Turcotte (CPT) and the Model of End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores to predict hospital mortality in cardiac surgery for cirrhotic patients and to analyse the survival according to the preoperative cirrhosis status.
Methods: Preoperative and cirrhosis characteristics and postoperative outcomes were compared according to hospital mortality. The performance of the 3 scores was analysed by the area under the receiver-operating characteristics (AUC-ROC) by DeLong's method. The survival of the patients who were discharged was analysed by Kaplan-Meier curves according to the preoperative cirrhosis status.
Results: Seventy-four patients were included. Observed hospital mortality was 12%, the predictive mortality by ESII was 3.9% ± 5.2%, and AUC-ROC was 0.67 [0.44-0.90]. Only the MELD score was discriminant (AUC-ROC 0.75 [0.57-0.93]). The observed hospital mortality increased by threefold over the ESII (12% versus 3.9%, p < 0.001), except the patients with MELD < 10 for whom hospital mortality was similar as ESII (3% versus 2.6%, p = 0.89). Long-term survival was higher for the MELD < 10 patients.
Conclusions: The ESII did not predict hospital mortality after a cardiac surgery in cirrhotic patients and the MELD score should be considered for decision of cardiac intervention in cirrhotic patients.
Keywords: Cardiac surgery; Hospital mortality; Liver cirrhosis; Score; Survival.
© 2022. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to The Japanese Association for Thoracic Surgery.