Radiomics signature from [18F]FDG PET images for prognosis predication of primary gastrointestinal diffuse large B cell lymphoma

Abstract

Objectives: To investigate the prognostic value of PET radiomics feature in the prognosis of patients with primary gastrointestinal diffuse large B cell lymphoma (PGI-DLBCL) treated with R-CHOP-like regimen.

Methods: A total of 140 PGI-DLBCL patients who underwent pre-therapy [¹⁸F] FDG PET/CT were enrolled in this retrospective analysis. PET radiomics features obtained from patients in the training cohort were subjected to three machine learning methods and Pearson's correlation test for feature selection. Support vector machine (SVM) was used to build a radiomics signature classifier associated with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). A multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was established to predict survival outcomes.

Results: A total of 1421 PET radiomics features were extracted and reduced to 5 features to build a radiomics signature which was significantly associated with PFS and OS (p < 0.05). The combined model incorporating radiomics signatures, metabolic metrics, and clinical risk factors showed high C-indices in both the training (PFS: 0.825, OS: 0.834) and validation sets (PFS: 0.831, OS: 0.877). Decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated that the combined models achieved the most net benefit across a wider reasonable range of threshold probabilities for predicting PFS and OS.

Conclusion: The newly developed radiomics signatures obtained by the ensemble strategy were independent predictors of PFS and OS for PGI-DLBCL patients. Moreover, the combined model with clinical and metabolic factors was able to predict patient prognosis and may enable personalized treatment decision-making.

Key points: • Radiomics signatures generated from the optimal radiomics feature set from the [¹⁸F]FDG PET images can predict the survival of PGI-DLBCL patients. • The optimal radiomics feature set is constructed by integrating the feature selection outputs of LASSO, RF, Xgboost, and PC methods. • Combined models incorporating radiomics signatures from¹⁸F-FDG PET images, metabolic parameters, and clinical factors outperformed clinical models, and NCCN-IPI.

Keywords: FDG PET/CT; Primary gastrointestinal diffuse large B cell lymphoma; Prognosis; Radiomics.