Non-linear relations between life expectancy, socio-economic, and air pollution factors: a global assessment with spatial disparities

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Jul;29(35):53306-53318. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-19644-7. Epub 2022 Mar 12.

Abstract

Influential factors of socio-economic and air pollution on life expectancy (LE) show complexity. The investigations of non-linear functions of LE, socio-economic, and air pollution factors have not been largely conducted, and spatial and temporal differences of the linear or non-linear relations between LE and the influential factors have been obscured across countries in the world. In this study, the non-linear relations between LE and factors of per capita gross national income (GNIpc), urban population rate (UPR), and fine-particulate (PM2.5) were estimated from 2000 to 2015 by using a generalized additive model (GAM). The collected data included the 219 countries and regions with sufficient data and covers the period 2000-2015. The results demonstrate that at the global level, the GNIpc plays a stable and significant non-linear role in LE, while the non-linear relationships between UPR, PM2.5, and LE are not significant. The temporal variation was further investigated that the non-linear effect of PM2.5 on LE is gradually strengthened, and the non-linear effect of UPR on LE shows a weakened trend. However, GNIpc always plays a significantly non-linear role in the LE level. Furthermore, the spatial difference in the non-linear relations among different continents is detected. In sum, it cannot be ignored the non-linear effects of socio-economic and air pollution factors on LE at a global scale and across different continents.

Keywords: Air pollution; Generalized additive model; Life expectancy at birth; Social-economic factors; Spatial difference.

MeSH terms

  • Air Pollutants* / analysis
  • Air Pollution*
  • Humans
  • Income
  • Life Expectancy
  • Particulate Matter / analysis
  • Socioeconomic Factors
  • Urban Population

Substances

  • Air Pollutants
  • Particulate Matter