Purpose: To establish and verify a predictive model involving multiparameter MRI and clinical manifestations for predicting synchronous lung metastases (SLM) in osteosarcoma.
Materials and methods: Seventy-eight consecutive patients with osteosarcoma (training dataset, n = 54; validation dataset, n = 24) were enrolled in our study. MRI features were extracted from the T1-weighted image (T1WI), T2-weighted image (T2WI), and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted image (CE-T1WI) of each patient. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and multifactor logistic regression were performed to select key features and build radiomics models in conjunction with logistic regression (LR) and support vector machine (SVM) classifiers. Eight individual models based on T1WI, T2WI, CE-T1WI, T1WI+T2WI, T1WI+CE-T1WI, T2WI+CE-T1WI, T1WI+T2WI+CE-T1WI, and clinical features, as well as two combined models, were built. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity were employed to assess the different models.
Results: Tumor size was the most significant univariate clinical indicator (1). The AUC values of the LR predictive model based on T1WI, T2WI, CE-T1WI, T1WI+T2WI, T1WI+CE-T1WI, T2WI+CE-T1WI, and T1WI+T2WI+CE-T1WI were 0.686, 0.85, 0.87, 0.879, 0.736, 0.85, and 0.914, respectively (2). The AUC values of the SVM predictive model based on T1WI, T2WI, CE-T1WI, T1WI+T2WI, T1WI +CE-T1WI, T2WI +CE-T1WI, and T1WI+T2WI+CE-T1WI were 0.629, 0.829, 0.771, 0.879, 0.643, 0.829, and 0.929, respectively (3). The AUC values of the clinical, combined 1 (clinical and LR-radiomics) and combined 2 (clinical and SVM-radiomics) predictive models were 0.779, 0.957, and 0.943, respectively.
Conclusion: The combined model exhibited good performance in predicting osteosarcoma SLM and may be helpful in clinical decision-making.
Keywords: magnetic resonance imaging; metastasis; osteosarcoma; predictive value of tests; radiomics.
Copyright © 2022 Luo, Li, Liao, Liu, Shen and Chen.