Objective: To identify the most predictive parameters of ovarian malignancy and develop a machine learning (ML) based algorithm to preoperatively distinguish between a benign and malignant pelvic mass.
Methods: Retrospective study of 70 predictive parameters collected from 140 women with a pelvic mass. The women were split into a 3:1 "training" to "testing" dataset. Feature selection was performed using Gini impurity through an embedded random forest model and principal component analysis. Nine unique ML classifiers were assessed across a variety of model-specific hyperparameters using 25 bootstrap resamples of the training data. Model predictions were then combined into an ensemble stack by LASSO regression. The final ensemble stack and individual classifiers were then applied to the testing dataset to assess model performance.
Results: Feature selection identified HE4, CA125, and transferrin as three predictive parameters of malignancy. Assessment of the ensemble stack on the testing dataset outperformed all individual ML classifiers in predicting malignancy. The ensemble stack demonstrated an accuracy of 97.1%, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC) of 0.951, and a sensitivity of 93.3% with a specificity of 100%.
Conclusions: Combining the measurement of three distinct biomarkers with the stacking of multiple ML classifiers into an ensemble can provide valuable preoperative diagnostic predictions for patients with a pelvic mass.
Keywords: CA125; HE4; ovarian cancer; pelvic mass.