The impact of geo-environmental factors on global COVID-19 transmission: A review of evidence and methodology

Sci Total Environ. 2022 Jun 20:826:154182. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154182. Epub 2022 Feb 26.

Abstract

Studies on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) transmission indicate that geo-environmental factors have played a significant role in the global pandemic. However, there has not been a systematic review on the impact of geo-environmental factors on global COVID-19 transmission in the context of geography. As such, we reviewed 49 well-chosen studies to reveal the impact of geo-environmental factors (including the natural environment and human activity) on global COVID-19 transmission, and to inform critical intervention strategies that could mitigate the worldwide effects of the pandemic. Existing studies frequently mention the impact of climate factors (e.g., temperature and humidity); in contrast, a more decisive influence can be achieved by human activity, including human mobility, health factors, and non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). The above results exhibit distinct spatiotemporal heterogeneity. The related analytical methodology consists of sensitivity analysis, mathematical modeling, and risk analysis. For future studies, we recommend highlighting geo-environmental interactions, developing geographically statistical models for multiple waves of the pandemic, and investigating NPIs and care patterns. We also propose four implications for practice to combat global COVID-19 transmission.

Keywords: Global COVID-19 transmission; Human activity; Model; Natural factor; Risk analysis.

Publication types

  • Review
  • Systematic Review

MeSH terms

  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Pandemics
  • SARS-CoV-2