A nomogram based on tumor response to induction chemotherapy may predict survival in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Head Neck. 2022 Jun;44(6):1301-1312. doi: 10.1002/hed.27020. Epub 2022 Feb 25.

Abstract

Background: To evaluate the clinical significance of tumor response to induction chemotherapy (IC) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC) patients and further to develop a nomogram for predicting survival prognosis.

Methods: A total of 498 patients with stage III-IVA NPC applying IC and concurrent chemotherapy were reviewed (training cohort, n = 376; validation cohort, n = 122).

Results: Tumor response was an independent predictor for clinical outcomes. The nomogram included age, N stage, pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, and tumor response achieved an ideal C-index of 0.703 (95% CI 0.655-0.751) in the validation cohort for predicting overall survival (OS), which outperformed than that of the TNM system alone (C-index, 0.670, 95% CI: 0.622-0.718). In addition, the nomogram could successfully classified patients into different risk groups.

Conclusions: We established and validated a precise and convenient nomogram based on tumor response for predicting the OS of LANPC patients.

Keywords: induction chemotherapy; nasopharyngeal carcinoma; nomogram; survival; tumor response.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Epstein-Barr Virus Infections*
  • Herpesvirus 4, Human
  • Humans
  • Induction Chemotherapy
  • Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma / drug therapy
  • Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms* / drug therapy
  • Nomograms