Incidence risks for cerebrovascular diseases and types of stroke in a cohort of Mayak PA workers

Abstract

Incidence risks for cerebrovascular diseases (CeVD) and some types of stroke in a cohort of 22,377 Russian Mayak nuclear workers chronically exposed to ionising radiation and followed up until the end of 2018 are reported. Among total 9469 cases of CeVD, 2078 cases were strokes that included 262 hemorrhagic strokes (HS) and 1611 ischemic strokes (IS). Data evaluation was performed with categorical and dose-response analyses estimating the relative risk (RR) and excess relative risk (ERR) per unit cumulative liver absorbed dose of external gamma-ray or internal alpha-particle exposure based on a linear model utilizing the AMFIT module of the EPICURE software. CeVD incidence was found to be significantly associated with cumulative radiation dose: ERR/Gy was 0.37 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.27, 0.47) in males and 0.47 (95% CI 0.31, 0.66) in females for external exposure, and 0.31 (95% CI 0.11, 0.59) in males and 0.32 (95% CI 0.11, 0.61) in females for internal exposure. When the model for the analysis of external radiation effect did not include an adjustment for alpha radiation dose (and vice versa), the radiogenic risk estimate increased notably both for males and for females. In contrast, exclusion from or inclusion in the model of additional adjustments for non-radiation factors did not notably change the risk estimates. ERR/Gy of external gamma dose for CeVD incidence significantly decreased with increasing attained age (males and females) and duration of employment (females). No significant associations of either stroke or its types with cumulative gamma-ray dose of external exposure or alpha-particle dose of internal exposure were found.

Keywords: Cerebrovascular diseases; Chronic alpha-particle exposure; Chronic gamma-ray exposure; Incidence risk; Ionising radiation; Mayak PA nuclear workers; Stroke.