Background: We aimed to investigate whether D-dimer and fibrinogen levels could predict prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following liver transplantation.
Methods: From January 2015 to January 2020, we conducted a study on patients with hepatitis B-related liver cancer. Two hundred seventy (270) liver transplant recipients were recruited. Considering D-dimer and plasma fibrinogen levels, a model was established to predict liver cancer recurrence following liver transplantation. Subsequent verification was performed on a validation cohort of 295 recipients from two other hospitals.
Results: Elevated D-dimer and plasma fibrinogen levels demonstrated independent correlation between overall survival and tumour-free survival among patients with HCC who underwent liver transplantation. Those who had preoperative fibrinogen ≥2.27 g/L had significantly reduced overall survival and tumour-free survival than those who had preoperative fibrinogen <2.27 g/L, in the discovery cohort. Recipients with increased risk had preoperative plasma D-dimer ≥2400 µg/L. The model was: Y= logit (P) =0.91* fibrinogen concentration +0.967* D-dimer +0.585* alpha-fetoprotein +1.623* Milan criteria +0.68* microvascular invasion -3.159. At a cut-off score of -1.524, the validation cohort had area under curve values of 0.764 and 0.828 respectively; analysis of this data optimised predictive performance for overall and tumour-free survival.
Conclusions: For patients who have undergone liver transplantation for HCC, preoperative D-dimer and fibrinogen levels independently predicted key outcomes such as overall survival and tumour-free survival.
Keywords: D-dimer; Hepatocellular carcinoma; fibrinogen; liver transplantation; predictive model.
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