Clinical predictors of pulmonary embolism for inpatients: are computed tomography pulmonary angiograms being requested appropriately?

Intern Med J. 2023 Jul;53(7):1224-1230. doi: 10.1111/imj.15696. Epub 2022 Sep 4.

Abstract

Background: The heterogeneity of inpatient pulmonary embolism (PE) presentations may lead to computed tomography pulmonary angiograms (CTPA) being over-requested. Current clinical predictors for PE, including Wells criteria and Pulmonary Embolism Rule-out Criteria (PERC), have predominantly focussed on outpatient and emergency department populations.

Aim: To determine the clinical indicators for ordering inpatient CTPA and the predictors of positive scans for PE.

Methods: Consecutive inpatient CTPA (performed >24 h after admission) from January 2017 to December 2017 were retrospectively reviewed. Variables including baseline characteristics, vital signs and risk factors for PE were extracted.

Results: A total of 312 CTPA was reviewed (average patient age 67 years; 46% male) and 36 CTPA were positive for PE (11.5%). The average time to inpatient CTPA request was 7 days. Clinical indicators associated with positive scans were hypoxia (odds ratio (OR) 2.4; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-5.6), tachypnoea (OR 2.5; 95% CI 1.2-6.0), recent surgery or immobilisation (OR 2.7; 95% CI 1.2-6.4), S1Q3T3 pattern on electrocardiogram (ECG; OR 7.2; 95% CI 1.4-35.7) and right bundle branch block pattern on ECG (OR 4.7; 95% CI 1.6-13.1). Hypotension, fever and malignancy were not significant. Both PERC and Wells criteria had poor positive predictive value (12% and 27% respectively), but the negative predictive value for PERC and Wells was 100% and 95.8% respectively.

Conclusion: Inpatient CTPA appear to be over-requested and can potentially be rationalised based on a combination of clinical predictors and Wells criteria and/or PERC rule. Further prospective studies are needed to develop accurate clinical decision tools targeted towards inpatients.

Keywords: PERC rule; Wells score; clinical prediction rule; inpatient; pulmonary embolism.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Angiography
  • Computed Tomography Angiography
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Inpatients*
  • Male
  • Pulmonary Embolism* / diagnostic imaging
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Tomography