Early detection of treatment futility in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer

Oncotarget. 2022 Jan 7:13:61-72. doi: 10.18632/oncotarget.28165. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

Purpose: Chemotherapy options for treating CRC have rapidly expanded in recent years, and few have predictive biomarkers. Oncologists are challenged with evidence-based selection of treatments, and response is evaluated retrospectively based on serial imaging beginning after 2-3 months. As a result, cumulative toxicities may appear in patients who will not benefit. Early recognition of non-benefit would reduce cumulative toxicities. Our objective was to determine treatment-related changes in the circulating metabolome corresponding to treatment futility.

Methods: Metabolomic studies were performed on serial plasma samples from patients with CRC in a randomized controlled trial of cetuximab vs. cetuximab + brivanib (N = 188). GC-MS quantified named 94 metabolites and concentrations were evaluated at baseline, Weeks 1, 4 and 12 after treatment initiation. In a discovery cohort (N = 68), a model distinguishing changes in metabolites associated with radiographic disease progression and response was generated using OPLS-DA. A cohort of 120 patients was used for validation of the model.

Results: By one week after treatment, a stable model of 21 metabolites could distinguish between progression and partial response (R2Y = 0.859; Q2Y = 0.605; P = 5e-4). In the validation cohort, patients with the biomarker had a significantly shorter OS (P < 0.0001). In a separate cohort of patients with HCC on axitinib, appearance of the biomarker also signified a shorter PFS (1.7 months vs. 9.2 months, P = 0.001).

Conclusion: We have identified changes in the metabolome that appear within 1 week of starting treatment associated with treatment futility. The novel approach described is applicable to future efforts in developing a biomarker for early assessment of treatment efficacy.

Keywords: chemotherapy; colorectal cancer; metabolomics; radiographic imaging; response biomarkers.

Publication types

  • Randomized Controlled Trial
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols / adverse effects
  • Axitinib / therapeutic use
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular* / drug therapy
  • Cetuximab / therapeutic use
  • Colonic Neoplasms* / drug therapy
  • Colorectal Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Early Detection of Cancer
  • Humans
  • Liver Neoplasms* / drug therapy
  • Medical Futility
  • Rectal Neoplasms* / drug therapy
  • Retrospective Studies

Substances

  • Axitinib
  • Cetuximab