Maximum and Time-Dependent Body Mass Index and Breast Cancer Incidence Among Postmenopausal Women in the Black Women's Health Study

Abstract

While excess weight is an established risk factor for postmenopausal breast cancer, consideration of maximum body mass index (maxBMI; BMI is calculated as weight (kg)/height (m)2) or BMI at a point in time relevant for breast carcinogenesis may offer new insights. We prospectively evaluated maxBMI and time-dependent BMI in relation to breast cancer incidence among 31,028 postmenopausal women in the Black Women's Health Study. During 1995-2015, a total of 1,384 diagnoses occurred, including 787 estrogen-receptor (ER)-positive (ER+) cases and 310 ER-negative (ER-) cases. BMI was assessed at baseline and 2, 4, 6, and 8 years before diagnosis. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Compared with women with BMI <25, those with BMI ≥35 had increased risk of ER+ breast cancer but not ER- breast cancer. For BMI assessed 2 years before diagnosis, the HRs for ER+ breast cancer associated with maxBMI ≥35 and time-dependent BMI ≥35 were 1.42 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.10, 1.84) and 1.63 (95% CI: 1.25, 2.13), respectively. The corresponding HR for time-dependent BMI assessed 6 years before diagnosis was 1.95 (95% CI: 1.45, 2.62). These findings suggest strong associations of BMI with risk of ER+ breast cancer in postmenopausal women, regardless of timing of BMI assessment.

Keywords: African Americans; Black race; body mass index; breast cancer; lagged analysis; obesity.