Model averaging with the hybrid model: An asymptotic study and demonstration

Stat Methods Med Res. 2022 Apr;31(4):658-672. doi: 10.1177/09622802211041750. Epub 2022 Jan 12.

Abstract

In this paper, we present a new model averaging technique that can be applied in medical research. The dataset is first partitioned by the values of its categorical explanatory variables. Then for each partition, a model average is determined by minimising some form of squared errors, which could be the leave-one-out cross-validation errors. From our asymptotic optimality study and the results of simulations, we demonstrate under several high-level assumptions and modelling conditions that this model averaging procedure may outperform jackknife model averaging, which is a well-established technique. We also present an example where a cross-validation procedure does not work (that is, a zero-valued cross-validation error is obtained) when determining the weights for model averaging.

Keywords: Model averaging; asymptotic study; cross-validation; hybrid model; simulation.

MeSH terms

  • Biomedical Research*
  • Computer Simulation
  • Research Design*