Stacking regularization in analogy-based software effort estimation

Soft comput. 2022;26(3):1197-1216. doi: 10.1007/s00500-021-06564-w. Epub 2022 Jan 3.

Abstract

Analogy-based estimation (ABE) estimates the effort of the current project based on the information of similar past projects. The solution function of ABE provides the final effort prediction of a new project. Many studies on ABE in the past have provided various solution functions, but its effectiveness can still be enhanced. The present study is an attempt to improve the effort prediction accuracy of ABE by proposing a solution function SABE: Stacking regularization in analogy-based software effort estimation. The core of SABE is stacking, which is a machine learning technique. Stacking is beneficial as it works on multiple models harnessing their capabilities and provides a better estimation accuracy as compared to a single model. The proposed method is validated on four software effort estimation datasets and compared with the already existing solution functions: closet analogy, mean, median and inverse distance weighted mean. The evaluation criteria used are mean magnitude of relative error (MMRE), median magnitude of relative error (MdMRE), prediction (PRED) and standard accuracy (SA). The results suggested that the SABE showed promising performance for almost all the evaluation criteria when compared with the results of the earlier studies.

Keywords: Analogy-based estimation; Machine learning; Software effort estimation; Stacking.