Triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and cardiovascular events in the general population: A systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies

Abstract

Aims: The ratio of triglyceride (TG) to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) has been regarded as a novel surrogate indicator of insulin resistance and the atherogenic index of plasma. This meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the association between the TG/HDL-C ratio and the incidence of cardiovascular events in the general population.

Data synthesis: Cohort studies reporting the association between the TG/HDL-C ratio and cardiovascular events in the general population were obtained by a systematic literature search of PubMed, Embase and Web of Science databases until April 11, 2021. 13 cohort studies with a total of 207,515 participants were included in this meta-analysis. In a random-effects model, compared with those with the lowest category of the TG/HDL-C ratio, participants with the highest category were independently associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular events (pooled HR: 1.43, 95%CI: 1.26-1.62, I² = 72.9%). For the presence of publication bias detected by the Egger's test (p = 0.011), correction for publication bias using the trim-and-fill method reduced the HR to 1.26 (95%CI: 1.11-1.44). This result was consistent with the finding of the TG/HDL-C ratio analyzed as a continuous variable (pooled HR per unit increment of the TG/HDL-C ratio: 1.08, 95%CI: 1.04-1.12, I² = 67.0%). Subgroup analyses indicated that population gender, geographical region, duration of follow-up, adjustment for other lipid parameters, adjustment for diabetes and categorical number did not significantly vary the relationship.

Conclusion: Elevated TG/HDL-C ratio may be independently associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events in the general population. More well-designed studies are needed to confirm the current findings.

Registration number in prospero: CRD42021244583.

Keywords: Cardiovascular disease; High-density lipoprotein cholesterol; Meta-analysis; Ratio; Triglyceride.