Global proprieties of a delayed epidemic model with partial susceptible protection

Math Biosci Eng. 2022 Jan;19(1):209-224. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2022011. Epub 2021 Nov 9.

Abstract

In the case of an epidemic, the government (or population itself) can use protection for reducing the epidemic. This research investigates the global dynamics of a delayed epidemic model with partial susceptible protection. A threshold dynamics is obtained in terms of the basic reproduction number, where for R0<1 the infection will extinct from the population. But, for R0>1 it has been shown that the disease will persist, and the unique positive equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. The principal purpose of this research is to determine a relation between the isolation rate and the basic reproduction number in such a way we can eliminate the infection from the population. Moreover, we will determine the minimal protection force to eliminate the infection for the population. A comparative analysis with the classical SIR model is provided. The results are supported by some numerical illustrations with their epidemiological relevance.

Keywords: Modified SIR model; distributed delay; protection.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Basic Reproduction Number
  • Communicable Diseases* / epidemiology
  • Disease Susceptibility / epidemiology
  • Epidemics* / prevention & control
  • Humans
  • Models, Biological