Evaluation of midtrimester cervical length thresholds for the prediction of spontaneous preterm birth

Abstract

Introduction: To estimate the optimal midtrimester cervical length (CL) threshold for the prediction of spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) in asymptomatic pregnant women.

Material and methods: This is a prospective observational cohort study including asymptomatic women with singleton pregnancies who underwent CL measurement by transabdominal and/or transvaginal ultrasound between 19°^/7 and 21^6/7 weeks of gestation. All CL ≤30 mm from transabdominal ultrasound were confirmed by transvaginal ultrasound. Primary outcomes were sPTB <35 and <37 weeks.

Results: Out of 3,449 participants, 28 (0.8%) had a sPTB before 35 weeks and 99 (2.9%) had a sPTB before 37 weeks. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves suggest that a cut-off of 30 mm was the optimal CL to predict sPTB before 35 weeks (sensitivity: 43%; specificity: 97%) and sPTB before 37 weeks (sensitivity: 21%; specificity: 97%). While a CL <25 mm was an important risk factor for sPTB before 35 weeks (relative risk: 31; 95% confidence interval: 13-73), women with a CL between 25 and 30 mm were also at greater risk (relative risk: 12; 95% confidence interval: 4 - 35) compared to women with CL ≥30 mm.

Discussion: A midtrimester CL <30 mm should be considered to identify women at high-risk of sPTB.

Keywords: Cervical length; Pregnancy; Preterm birth; Ultrasound.