Developing metabolic gene signatures to predict intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma prognosis and mining a miRNA regulatory network

Abstract

Background: Metabolic disturbance is closely correlated with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (IHCC), and we aimed to identify metabolic gene marker for the prognosis of IHCC.

Methods: We obtained expression and clinical data from 141 patients with IHCC from public databases. Prognostic metabolic genes were selected using univariate Cox regression analysis. Unsupervised cluster analysis was applied to identify IHCC subtypes, and CIBERSORT was used for immune infiltration analysis of different subtypes. Then, the metabolic gene signature was screened using multivariate Cox regression analysis and the LASSO algorithm. The prognostic potential and regulatory network of the metabolic gene signature were further investigated.

Results: We screened 228 prognosis-related metabolic genes. Based on their expression levels, IHCC samples were divided into two subtypes, which showed significant differences in survival and immune cell infiltration. After LASSO analysis, eight metabolic genes including CYP19A1, SCD5, ACOT8, SRD5A3, MOGAT2, PFKFB3, PPARGC1B, and RPL17 were identified as the optimal genes for the prognosis signature. The prognostic model had excellent predictive abilities, with areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves over 0.8. A nomogram model was also established based on two independent prognostic clinical factors (pathologic stage and prognostic model), and the generated calibration curves and c-indexes determined its excellent accuracy and discriminative ability to predict 1- and 5-year survival status (c-indexes>0.7). Finally, we found that miR-26a-5p, miR-27a-3p, and miR-27b-3p were the upstream regulators that mediate the involvement of gene signatures in metabolic pathways.

Conclusion: We developed eight metabolic gene signatures to predict IHCC prognosis and proposed potential upstream regulatory axes of gene signatures.

Keywords: intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma; metabolism; miRNA-mRNA regulatory network; prognostic model.