Context.—: Despite continued surveillance and intravesical therapy, a significant subset of patients with lamina propria-invasive bladder cancer (T1) will progress to muscle-invasive disease or metastases.
Objective.—: To analyze the value of pathologic subcategorization of T1 disease in predicting progression.
Design.—: Six substaging methods were applied to a retrospective cohort of 73 patients, with pT1 urothelial carcinoma diagnosed on biopsy/transurethral resection. Additionally, the immunohistochemistry for GATA3 and cytokeratin 5/6 (CK5/6) was performed to study the prognostic value of stratifying T1 cancers into luminal or basal phenotypes.
Results.—: On follow-up (mean, 46 months), 21 patients (29%) experienced at least 1 recurrence without progression, and 16 (22%) had progression to muscle-invasive disease and/or distant metastasis. No differences were noted between progressors and nonprogressors with regard to sex, age, treatment status, medical history, tumor grade, and presence of carcinoma in situ. Substaging using depth of invasion (cutoff ≥1.4 mm), largest invasive focus (≥3.6 mm), aggregate linear length of invasion (≥8.9 mm), and number of invasive foci (≥3 foci) correlated significantly with progression and reduced progression-free survival, whereas invasion into muscularis mucosa or vascular plexus, or focal versus extensive invasion (focal when ≤2 foci, each <1 mm) failed. Patients with luminal tumors had higher incidence of progression than those with nonluminal tumors (27% versus 11%), although the difference was statistically insignificant (P = .14).
Conclusions.—: Substaging of T1 bladder cancers should be attempted in pathology reports. Quantifying the number of invasive foci (≥3) and/or measuring the largest contiguous focus of invasive carcinoma (≥3.6 mm) are practical tools for prognostic substaging of T1 cancers.