Introduction: In rectal cancer, neoadjuvant chemoradiation (NCRT) is preferred because of toxicity profile, improved resectability and sphincter preservation, although with no impact on overall survival. Pathologic complete response (pCR) to NCRT has been linked with longer disease-free survival (DFS). The study purpose was to evaluate an association between clinical factors and treatment schedule with tumor response and treatment outcome, among patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.
Patients and methods: In this single-center retrospective study, conducted over 9 years (2011 to 2020), patients with stage II to III rectal cancer who had received NCRT were enrolled. The standard radiotherapy was 45 Gy to the pelvis, with a simultaneous integrated 50 Gy boost to the primary tumor. Continuous 5-Fluorouracil or oral capecitabine was administered concurrently. Surgery was preplanned within 6 to 8 weeks. Multinomial logistic regressions for evaluation of clinical factors, Kaplan-Meier method for DFS estimation, and receiver operating characteristic analysis for determination of the optimal timeframe were used.
Results: Of 279 cases, pCR was observed in 72 (25.8%). In 207 cases, pTis-4N-negative was obtained in 137 (66.2%), pT0N-positive in 6 (2.9%), and pTis-4N-positive in 64 (30.9%). The pCR group had shorter diagnosis-NCRT time (P<0.01) and on-treatment time (P=0.05). DFS was longer for pCR and partial responders with clinical stage II and III (P<0.0001). Diagnosis-NCRT time was shown different between pCR and non-pCR groups. receiver operating characteristic analysis (P<0.01) showed that a diagnosis-NCRT time of <4.5 weeks predicts pCR with a sensitivity of 88% and specificity of 81% accuracy.
Conclusion: The time elapsed between rectal cancer diagnosis and NCRT initiation is significantly associated with pCR. Reducing this time may increase the probability of achieving pCR.
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