Blood Pressure Variability and the Risk of Fracture: A Nationwide Cohort Study

J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2022 Mar 24;107(4):e1488-e1500. doi: 10.1210/clinem/dgab856.

Abstract

Context: Although blood pressure variability (BPV) is associated with various health outcomes, only 1 study suggested that BPV is correlated with hip fractures. As cardiovascular disease and fractures share similar pathophysiology, there might be a link between BPV and fractures.

Objective: To investigate the association between BPV and the incident fractures.

Design: Retrospective cohort study.

Setting: Population-based, using the Korean National Health Insurance System database.

Patients or other participants: A total of 3 256 070 participants aged ≥50 who participated in ≥3 health examinations within the previous 5 years, including the index year (2009-2010), were included. Outcome data were obtained through the end of 2016.

Exposure: BPV was calculated using variability independent of the mean. High variability was defined as the highest quartile of variability.

Main outcome measures: Newly diagnosed fractures.

Results: During the median follow-up of 7.0 years, there were 337 045 cases of any fracture (10.4%). After adjusting for age, sex, income, lifestyle factors, and comorbidities, a higher risk of fracture was observed with higher quartiles of BPV than the lowest quartile group: the adjusted hazard ratios (95% CIs) for incident any fracture were 1.07 (1.06-1.08) in the higher quartile of systolic BPV, 1.06 (1.05-1.07) in that of diastolic BPV, and 1.07 (1.06-1.08) in that of both systolic and diastolic BPV. Consistent results were noted for vertebral fractures and hip fractures, as well as in various subgroup analyses.

Conclusions: A positive association was noted between higher BPV and fracture incidence. BPV is an independent predictor for developing fracture.

Keywords: blood pressure; blood pressure variability; fracture; hip fracture; vertebral fracture.

MeSH terms

  • Blood Pressure / physiology
  • Cohort Studies
  • Hip Fractures* / epidemiology
  • Hip Fractures* / etiology
  • Humans
  • Hypertension* / complications
  • Hypertension* / diagnosis
  • Hypertension* / epidemiology
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors