Late-life disability trajectories in Yoruba Nigerians and the Spanish population: a state space model in continuous time

Aging Ment Health. 2022 Dec;26(12):2447-2453. doi: 10.1080/13607863.2021.2008307. Epub 2021 Nov 28.

Abstract

Objectives: We compared the trajectory of activities of daily living (ADL) in a nationally representative sample of older Nigerians with their Spanish peers and identified factors to explain country-specific growth models.

Methods: Data from two household multistage probability samples were used, comprising older adults from Spain (n = 2,011) and Nigeria (n = 1,704). All participants underwent assessment for ADL. Risk factors including sex, household income, urbanicity, years of education, depression, alcohol consumption and smoking were assessed using validated methods. State-space model in continuous time (SSM-CT) methods were used for trajectory comparison.

Results: Compared with Nigerians (µADL80=0.44, SE = 0.015, p < 0.001), Spanish older adults had higher disability scores (µADL80=1.23, SE = 0.021, p < 0.001). In SSM-CT models, the rate of increase in disability was faster in Nigerians (Nigeria: β = 0.061, p<.01; Spain: β = 0.028, p < 0.010). An increasing course of disability in the Spanish sample was predicted by female sex, lower education and depression diagnosis.

Conclusion: The rate of increase in disability was faster in older Nigerians living in an economically disadvantaged context.

Keywords: ADL limitations; Functional disability; compression of disability; longitudinal cohort; low- and middle-income countries.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Activities of Daily Living*
  • Aged
  • Disability Evaluation
  • Disabled Persons*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Nigeria / epidemiology
  • Space Simulation