Correlation between radiographic and pathologic lymph node involvement and extranodal extension via CT and PET in HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer

Abstract

Purpose/objectives: Extranodal extension (ENE) and more than 4 pathologically involved lymph nodes (pN2) are critical prognostic factors in HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer (HPV(+) OPSCC). We analyze a patient cohort with HPV(+) OPSCC to determine the sensitivity and specificity of CT and PET/CT in identifying involvement of more than 4 lymph nodes (rN2) compared to pN2 and radiographic ENE (rENE) compared to pathologic ENE (pENE).

Materials/methods: The dataset consisted of 261 patients enrolled in two prospective clinical trials. All imaging studies were independently reviewed by a blinded neuroradiologist, classifying the presence or absence of rENE and rN2. Secondary analyses included correlations of imaging accuracy and pathologic size of the primary tumor.

Results: CT demonstrated sensitivity of 59%, specificity of 92%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 53%, negative predictive value (NPV) of 94%, and accuracy of 88% for pN2. PET/CT showed similar results. Patients with up to 4 involved lymph nodes (rN0-1) had a 93-94% chance of remaining pN0-1. CT and PET/CT identified an equal number of involved nodes in 81% of patients. CT demonstrated sensitivity of 54%, specificity of 71%, PPV of 72%, NPV of 53%, and accuracy of 62% for pENE. PET/CT showed similar outcomes. Notably, when multiple radiographic criteria were used to identify rENE, PPV increased for both CT (84%) and PET/CT (79%).

Conclusion: Patients with rN0-1 had a 93-94% chance of remaining pN0-1, suggesting rN0-1 could effectively stratify patients for clinical trials and treatment de-escalation. While CT and PET/CT were highly correlated, both showed low sensitivity for identifying pENE.

Keywords: Extranodal extension; HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer; Predictive factors; Sensitivity; Specificity.