The future ocean we want

Abstract

Backcasting involves the design of a desirable future that is not simply predicted with forecasts being, instead, proactively aimed at with effective action. So far, all initiatives towards sustainability failed, probably due to lack of investments in the acquisition of knowledge on the structure and the function of natural systems (i.e. biodiversity and ecosystem functioning), and to the reliance on models and estimates based on incomplete data.

Keywords: Backcasting; Biodiversity; Ecosystems; Forecasting; Global warming; Mediterranean Sea; Non indigenous species; Novel ecosystems; Restoration; Rewilding.