Early molecular imaging response assessment based on determination of total viable tumor burden in [68Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 PET/CT independently predicts overall survival in [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 radioligand therapy

Abstract

Purpose: In patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) treated with prostate-specific membrane antigen-targeted radioligand therapy (PSMA-RLT), the predictive value of PSMA PET/CT-derived response is still under investigation. Early molecular imaging response based on total viable tumor burden and its association with overall survival (OS) was explored in this study.

Methods: Sixty-six mCRPC patients who received [¹⁷⁷Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 RLT within a prospective patient registry (REALITY Study, NCT04833517) were analyzed. Patients received a [⁶⁸Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 PET/CT scan before the first and after the second cycle of PSMA-RLT. Total lesion PSMA (TLP) was determined by semiautomatic whole-body tumor segmentation. Molecular imaging response was assessed by change in TLP and modified PERCIST criteria. Biochemical response was assessed using standard serum PSA and PCWG3 criteria. Both response assessment methods and additional baseline parameters were analyzed regarding their association with OS by univariate and multivariable analysis.

Results: By molecular imaging, 40/66 (60.6%) patients showed partial remission (PR), 19/66 (28.7%) stable disease (SD), and 7/66 (10.6%) progressive disease (PD). Biochemical response assessment revealed PR in 34/66 (51.5%) patients, SD in 20/66 (30.3%), and PD in 12/66 (18.2%). Response assessments were concordant in 49/66 (74.3%) cases. On univariate analysis, both molecular and biochemical response (p = 0.001 and 0.008, respectively) as well as two baseline characteristics (ALP and ECOG) were each significantly associated with OS. The median OS of patients showing molecular PR was 24.6 versus 10.7 months in the remaining patients (with SD or PD). On multivariable analysis molecular imaging response remained an independent predictor of OS (p = 0.002), eliminating biochemical response as insignificant (p = 0.515).

Conclusion: The new whole-body molecular imaging-derived biomarker, early change of total lesion PSMA (TLP), independently predicts overall survival in [¹⁷⁷Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 RLT in mCRPC, outperforming conventional PSA-based response assessment. TLP might be considered a more distinguished and advanced biomarker for monitoring PSMA-RLT over commonly used serum PSA.

Keywords: Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer; Molecular imaging; PSMA PET/CT; Radioligand therapy; Response assessment.