Why are methane emissions from China's oil & natural gas systems still unclear? A review of current bottom-up inventories

Sci Total Environ. 2022 Feb 10;807(Pt 3):151076. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151076. Epub 2021 Oct 19.

Abstract

There is growing awareness and concern on methane (CH4) emissions from China's oil and natural gas (ONG) systems owing to the carbon neutral target. This paper aims to present a comprehensive review on the bottom-up inventories of the CH4 emissions from the perspective of the ONG systems in China. The trend and magnitude of total emissions in the last four decades were revealed and limitations of current estimations were explored. Previous studies showed that the average CH4 emissions from China's ONG systems have almost tripled from 1980 (760 Gg) to 2015 (2180 Gg) with a trend of steady increase. However, the estimated values varied by an order-of-magnitude with the largest discrepancy of 2700 Gg. This discrepancy was unlikely caused mainly by the incompleteness of estimation, since dominant emission sources were all covered by representative studies. Moreover, the differences of activity-level data were within ±10%, which ruled out the possibility that it was the main contributor to the large discrepancies. The emissions estimate has huge variation in large part because of differences in assumed emission factors (EFs) that vary by an order of magnitude. The difficulty was to determine which of the EFs were accurate due to measurement-based data availability. Thus, the large discrepancies stem from the scarcity of publicly available data, which enlarged the impact from various methods adopted by previous studies. For better understanding of CH4 emissions from the ONG systems in China, the measurements of facility-level emissions and statistics on the ONG infrastructure are required urgently. Due to the high cost and experience-oriented measurement work, international cooperation and communications are critical prerequisites for future CH4 emission estimates and effective mitigation strategies.

Keywords: China; Greenhouse gas emission inventories; Methane emissions; Natural gas industry; Oil industry.

Publication types

  • Review

MeSH terms

  • China
  • International Cooperation
  • Methane*
  • Natural Gas*

Substances

  • Natural Gas
  • Methane