Clinical and metabolic parameters for predicting disease progression of gallbladder adenocarcinoma

Abstract

Objective: This study aimed to identify reliable predictors of disease progression in patients with gallbladder (GB) adenocarcinoma.

Patients and methods: A total of 54 patients with GB adenocarcinoma underwent preoperative F-18 fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT. Age, sex, clinical stage, and pathologic differentiation were collected. Tumor size and PET parameters such as SUVmax, SUVmean, SUVpeak, metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and total lesion glycolysis were measured. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the utility of clinical values and PET parameters. Pearson bivariate correlation was used to evaluate the association between progression-free survival (PFS) and various parameters.

Results: No recurrence was found in 15 of 54 patients, while six showed recurrence and another 33 manifested disease progression. There were significant differences in size, stage, pathologic differentiation, and PET parameters between the groups with and without recurrence/progression. However, there was no difference in those parameters between the groups with recurrence and progression. The average PFS of the groups with no recurrence, recurrence, and progression groups was 33.1, 17.1, and 5.0 months, respectively. In univariate analysis, age, sex, clinical stage, pathologic differentiation, size, and PET parameters were correlated with PFS. In multivariate analysis, only clinical stage and MTV were statistically significant and MTV showed the highest odds ratio. Pearson correlation coefficients showed moderate negative correlations between PFS and clinical stage or MTV.

Conclusion: In GB adenocarcinoma, clinical stage and MTV are the most powerful parameters for predicting recurrence and disease progression. Based on clinical stage, MTV will represent a strong prognostic predictor.