Analysis of micropollutants in a marine outfall using network analysis and decision tree

Abstract

The presence of micropollutants (MPs), including pharmaceutical, industrial, and pesticidal compounds, threatens both human health and the aquatic ecosystem. The development and extensive use of new chemicals have also inevitably led to the accumulation of MPs in aquatic environments. Recreational beaches are especially vulnerable to contamination, affecting humans and aquatic animals via the absorption of MPs in water during marine activities (e.g., swimming, sailing, and windsurfing). Additionally, marine outfalls in an urbanized coastal city can cause serious chemical and microbial pollution on recreational beaches, leading to an increase in adverse effects on public health and the ecological system. Therefore, the aim of this study was to, with the use of network and decision tree analyses, identify the features and factors that influence the change in MP concentrations in a marine outfall. These analyses were conducted to inspect the relationship between each MP and its hierarchical structure as well as hydrometeorological variables. Additionally, a risk analysis was conducted in this study in which the MPs were prioritized based on their optimized risk quotient values. During our monitoring of MP concentrations over time at the marine outfall, high concentrations of pharmaceutical and industrial compounds were detected when the tide level was low after rainfall. Furthermore, results of the risk analysis and the prioritization revealed that a total of 18 substances identified in our study posed a risk to the ecosystem; these include major ecotoxicologically hazardous substances such as telmisartan, mevinphos, and methiocarb. Results of the network analysis demonstrated distinct trends for pharmaceutical and industrial substances, whilst those for pesticide compounds were irregular. Additionally, the hierarchical structures for most MPs consisted of rainfall, tide level, and antecedent dry hours; this implies that these factors influence MP dynamics. These findings will be helpful for establishing chemical contamination management plans for recreational beaches in the future.

Keywords: Decision tree; Marine outfall; Micropollutant; Network analysis.