[The impact of ambient temperature exposure on emergency calls-a time series analysis based on data of Xuchang and Zhengzhou]

Zhonghua Yu Fang Yi Xue Za Zhi. 2021 Feb 6;55(2):194-199. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112150-20200603-00816.
[Article in Chinese]

Abstract

Objective: To investigate the effect of hourly ambient temperature exposure on emergency calls in Xuchang city and Zhengzhou city. Methods: The hourly meteorological data, air pollution data and emergency calls of Xuchang city and Zhengzhou city were collected from January 1, 2017 to October 31, 2019. A distributed lag non-linear model was used to calculate the excess relative risk (ERR). The lag effect and cumulative effect of extreme temperature exposure on emergency calls were evaluated. Results: The relationship between hourly temperature exposure and emergency calls was a U-shaped curve. In Xuchang city and Zhengzhou city, both low and high temperatures would increase the number of hourly emergency calls. The earliest effect of low temperature occurred at a lag of 22 h and 52 h, with ERR values (95%CI) about 0.20% (0.00%, 0.39%) and 0.11% (0.00%, 0.22%), respectively. The earliest effect of high temperature occurred at a lag of 0 h with ERR values about 1.59% (1.09%, 2.09%) and 1.45% (1.22%, 1.69%), respectively. High temperature had the greatest impact on the number of emergency calls of cardiovascular disease at a lag of 4-8 h. The cumulative ERR values (95%CI) of the two cities were 8.70% (4.98%, 12.75%) and 3.89% (2.61%, 5.22%), respectively. Conclusion: High temperature exposure could increase the number of emergency calls within a few hours, while the effect of low temperature would not occur until 22 hours later.

目的: 探讨逐小时环境温度暴露对许昌和郑州市急救呼叫次数的影响。 方法: 收集许昌、郑州市2017年1月1日—2019年10月31日的逐小时气象资料、空气污染资料和急救呼叫数据,采用分布滞后非线性模型计算超额危险度(ERR),评估极端温度暴露对急救呼叫的滞后效应和累积效应。 结果: 逐小时温度暴露与急救呼叫次数呈“U”型关联。在许昌市和郑州市,低温和高温均会增加每小时急救呼叫次数。低温的最早影响出现在滞后22和52 h,ERR(95%CI)值分别为0.20%(0.00%,0.39%)和0.11%(0.00%,0.22%);高温的最早影响均出现在滞后0 h,ERR(95%CI)值分别为1.59%(1.09%,2.09%)和1.45%(1.22%,1.69%)。高温在滞后4~8 h对心血管疾病的急救呼叫次数影响最大,许昌市、郑州市的累积ERR值(95%CI)分别为8.70%(4.98%,12.75%)和3.89%(2.61%,5.22%)。 结论: 高温暴露可在数小时内增加急救呼叫次数,而低温的影响在22 h后才会出现。.

MeSH terms

  • Air Pollutants* / analysis
  • Air Pollution* / analysis
  • China
  • Cities
  • Emergency Service, Hospital
  • Humans
  • Temperature

Substances

  • Air Pollutants