The comparative efficacy and safety between lenvatinib and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is still unclear. This multicenter historical cohort study enrolled 244 patients who were treated with HAIC (n = 173) or lenvatinib (n = 71) between 2012 and 2020. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed, and 52 patients were selected per group. Clinical outcomes and safety were compared. Objective response rate (ORR) was not different between the two groups (26.0% vs. 23.1%, p = 0.736). Before PSM, the HAIC group had a higher proportion of Child-Pugh B and portal vein tumor, whereas the lenvatinib group had more patients with extrahepatic metastases, which was adjusted after PSM. There were no differences in progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) after PSM (HAIC vs. lenvatinib, median PFS, 3.6 vs. 4.0 months, p = 0.706; median OS 10.8 vs. 7.9 months, p = 0.106). Multivariate Cox-regression showed that alpha-fetoprotein ≤1000 ng/mL was only an associated factor for OS after PSM in all patients (hazard ratio = 0.421, p = 0.011). Subgroup analysis for patients with a high tumor burden beyond the REFLECT eligibility criteria revealed that the HAIC group (n = 29) had a significantly longer OS than did the lenvatinib group (n = 30) (10.0 vs. 5.4 months, p = 0.004). More patients in the HAIC group achieved better liver function than those in the lenvatinib group at the time of best responses. There was no difference in the incidence of grade 3 and 4 adverse events between the two groups. Therefore, lenvatinib is comparable to HAIC in terms of ORR and OS in unresectable HCC meeting REFLECT eligibility criteria.
Keywords: hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy; hepatocellular carcinoma; lenvatinib; propensity score matching.