Aim: To determine the level of SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence among the Novosibirsk Region population against the background of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Material and methods: The work was carried out in 2 phases: 1) a cross-sectional cohort study performed 28.06- 15.07.2020; 2) longitudinal cohort 3-stage seromonitoring: 1st stage 28.06-15.07.2020; 2nd 14.09-04.10.2020; 3rd 10-30.12.2020 The work was carried out according to a unified methodology developed by Rospotrebnadzor with the participation of St-Petersburg Pasteur Institute, taking into account the recommendations of the WHO. IgG antibodies to the SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid protein were detected by ELISA using a kit of reagents produced by the SRCMSB (Obolensk) according to the manufacturer's instructions. Statistical analysis was performed using Microsoft Excel 2010 and other programs.
Results: The seroprevalence in the region's population was 9.1% (95% CI 8.0-10.2): maximum in children 14-17 years old (17.6%, 95% CI 12.3-23.9) and persons over 75 years (14.8%, 95% CI 11.4-18.8), minimum among persons 30-39 years old (4.9%, 95% CI 3.0-8.0). Increased rate was noted among the unemployed (15.4%, 95% CI 9.9-17.1) and other individuals (13.0%, 95% CI 8.6-18.5). Seroprevalence was 33.3% (95% CI 16.3-59.0) in COVID-19 convalescents and 19.0% (95% CI 13.9-25.0) in contact persons. More than 94.7% (95% CI 91.2-97.2) of seropositive individuals were asymptomatic. During the serological monitoring, seroprevalence increased from 7.4% (95% CI 6.2-8.9) at 1st stage 1 to 12.4% (95% CI 10.6-14.3) at 2nd , and 31% (95% CI 28.8-33.3) at 3rd stage.
Conclusion: SARS-CoV-2 herd immunity has not reached the threshold level, this does not exclude exacerbation of the epidemic process.