Opinion dynamics with backfire effect and biased assimilation

PLoS One. 2021 Sep 1;16(9):e0256922. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0256922. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

The democratization of AI tools for content generation, combined with unrestricted access to mass media for all (e.g. through microblogging and social media), makes it increasingly hard for people to distinguish fact from fiction. This raises the question of how individual opinions evolve in such a networked environment without grounding in a known reality. The dominant approach to studying this problem uses simple models from the social sciences on how individuals change their opinions when exposed to their social neighborhood, and applies them on large social networks. We propose a novel model that incorporates two known social phenomena: (i) Biased Assimilation: the tendency of individuals to adopt other opinions if they are similar to their own; (ii) Backfire Effect: the fact that an opposite opinion may further entrench people in their stances, making their opinions more extreme instead of moderating them. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first DeGroot-type opinion formation model that captures the Backfire Effect. A thorough theoretical and empirical analysis of the proposed model reveals intuitive conditions for polarization and consensus to exist, as well as the properties of the resulting opinions.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Attitude*
  • Humans
  • Models, Psychological*
  • Online Social Networking*
  • Prejudice / psychology*
  • Social Media

Grants and funding

The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Research Council under the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) / ERC Grant Agreement no. 615517 (TDB), from the Flemish Government under the ‘`Onderzoeksprogramma Artificiële Intelligentie (AI) Vlaanderen’’ programme (TDB), from the FWO (project no. G091017N (TDB&JL), G0F9816N (TDB), 3G042220 (TDB)), and from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme and the FWO under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie Grant Agreement no. 665501 (JL). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.