Prognostic Value of Immune-Inflammatory Index in PSI IV-V Patients with COVID-19

Biomed Res Int. 2021 Aug 16:2021:9987931. doi: 10.1155/2021/9987931. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

Objective: Respiratory failure is the leading cause of mortality in COVID-19 patients, characterized by a generalized disbalance of inflammation. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between immune-inflammatory index and mortality in PSI IV-V patients with COVID-19.

Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of COVID-19 patients from Feb. to Apr. 2020 in the Zhongfa Xincheng Branch of Tongji Hospital, Wuhan, China. Patients who presented high severity of COVID-19-related pneumonia were enrolled for further analysis according to the Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI) tool.

Results: A total of 101 patients diagnosed with COVID-19 were identified at initial research. The survival analysis revealed that mortality of the PSI IV-V cohort was significantly higher than the PSI I-III group (p = 0.0003). The overall mortality in PSI IV-V patients was 32.1% (9/28). The fatal cases of the PSI IV-V group had a higher level of procalcitonin (p = 0.022) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (p = 0.033) compared with the survivors. Procalcitonin was the most sensitive predictor of mortality for the severe COVID-19 population with area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.78, higher than the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (0.75) and total lymphocyte (0.68) and neutrophil (0.67) counts.

Conclusion: Procalcitonin and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio may potentially be effective predictors for mortality in PSI IV-V patients with COVID-19. Increased procalcitonin and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio were associated with greater risk of mortality.

Publication types

  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • COVID-19 / immunology*
  • COVID-19 / mortality
  • COVID-19 / physiopathology*
  • China / epidemiology
  • Cohort Studies
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Inflammation / immunology
  • Inflammation / physiopathology
  • Lymphocytes / immunology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neutrophils / immunology
  • Pandemics*
  • Pneumonia, Viral / immunology
  • Pneumonia, Viral / mortality
  • Pneumonia, Viral / physiopathology
  • Procalcitonin / blood
  • Prognosis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • SARS-CoV-2*
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Survival Analysis

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Procalcitonin