Transitions Between Frailty States and Its Predictors in a Cohort of Community-Dwelling Spaniards

Abstract

Objectives: Study the frequency and determinants of frailty transitions in a community-dwelling older population.

Design: Population-based prospective longitudinal study [The Toledo Study of Healthy Ageing (TSHA)].

Setting and participants: 1748 community-dwelling individuals aged >65 years living in Toledo, a Spanish province.

Methods: Frailty was measured with the Fried phenotype. Logistic models were used to assess the associations of sociodemographic, clinical, life-habits, functional, physical performance, and analytical variables with frailty transitions (losing robustness, transitioning from prefrailty to robustness, and from prefrailty to frailty) over a median of 5.2 years.

Results: Mean age on enrolment was 75 years, and 55.8% were females. At baseline, 10.3% were frail and 43.1% prefrail. At follow-up, 35.8% of the frail individuals recovered to a prefrail and 15.1% to a robust state. In addition, 43.7% of the prefrail participants became robust, but 14.5% developed frailty. Of those robust at baseline, 32.9% became prefrail and 4.2% frail. In multivariate logistic models, chair-stands had a predictive role in all transitions studied: linearly in keeping robustness and with a floor effect (5 stands) in transitions from prefrailty to robustness and (inversely) from prefrailty to frailty. More depressive symptoms were associated with unfavorable transitions. Not declaring the amount of alcohol drunk and low grip strength were associated with loss of robustness. Hearing and cognitive impairment, low physical activity and smoking with transitioning from prefrailty to frailty. Autonomy for instrumental activities of daily living and uricemia were associated with transitions between robustness and prefrailty in both directions. Increasing body mass index in the range of moderate to severe obesity hampered regaining robustness.

Conclusions and implications: Spontaneous improvement of frailty measured with the Fried phenotype is frequent, mainly to prefrailty. Most of the variables associated with transitions are modifiable and suggest research topics and interventions to reduce frailty in clinical and social care settings.

Keywords: Frailty transitions; cohort; frailty states; frailty trajectories; predictors.