Objectives: To evaluate the incidence, risk factors and clinical significance of four types of tumor progression (TP) after microwave ablation (MWA) of single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) of <5 cm.
Methods: The data of 340 treatment-naïve, HCC patients with a single HCC of <5 cm underwent MWA between April 2012 and November 2017 were retrospectively reviewed. TPs including local tumor progression (LTP), intrahepatic distant recurrence (IDR), aggressive intrasegmental recurrence (AIR) and extrahepatic distant recurrence (EDR) were reviewed and compared between BCLC stage 0 and A. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed on clinicopathological variables and different TPs to identify factors affecting long-term overall survival (OS).
Results: In a median follow-up period of 25.6 months (range, 3.1-61.4 months), the rate of LTP, IDR, AIR and EDR was 6.2% (21/340), 29.1% (98/340), 3.2% (11/340) and 7.9% (27/340). The four types of TP occurrence rates in BCLC stage 0 were comparable to those in BCLC stage A (p = 0.492, 0.971, 0.681 and 0.219). Univariate analysis showed that age (p < 0.001, hazard ratio [HR] = 2.783), comorbidities (p = 0.042, HR = 1.864), IDR, AIR and EDR (p = 0.027, HR = 1.719; p = 0.001, HR = 3.628; p = 0.009, HR = 2.638) were independently associated with OS. Multivariate analysis showed older age (p < 0.001, HR = 2.478), the occurrence of AIR (p < 0.001, HR = 2.648) and the occurrence of EDR (p = 0.002, HR = 2.222), were associated with poor OS.
Conclusions: The occurrence rate of IDR is the highest of all TPs following MWA of a single HCC of <5cm. Old age, AIR and EDR had an adverse effect on long-term OS.
Keywords: Carcinoma; ablation techniques; hepatocellular; recurrence; risk factors; survival.