Selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) is a therapy option in patients with breast cancer liver metastasis (BCLM). This analysis aimed at identifying a prognostic score regarding overall survival (OS) after SIRT using routine pretherapeutic parameters. Retrospective analysis of 38 patients (age, 59 (39-84) years) with BCLM and 42 SIRT procedures. Cox regression for OS included clinical factors (age, ECOG and prior treatments), laboratory parameters, hepatic tumor load and dose reduction due to hepatopulmonary shunt. Elevated baseline ALT and/or AST was present if CTCAE grade ≥ 2 was fulfilled (>3 times the upper limit of normal). Median OS after SIRT was 6.4 months. In univariable Cox, ECOG ≥ 1 (hazard ratio (HR), 3.8), presence of elevated baseline ALT/AST (HR, 3.8), prior liver surgery (HR, 10.2), and dose reduction of 40% (HR, 8.1) predicted shorter OS (each p < 0.05). Multivariable Cox confirmed ECOG ≥ 1 (HR, 2.34; p = 0.012) and elevated baseline ALT/AST (HR, 4.16; p < 0.001). Combining both factors, median OS decreased from 19.2 months (0 risk factors; n = 14 procedures) to 5.9 months (1 factor; n = 20) or 2.2 months (2 factors; n = 8; p < 0.001). The proposed score may facilitate pretherapeutic identification of patients with unfavorable OS after SIRT. This may help to balance potential life prolongation with the hazards of invasive treatment and hospitalization.
Keywords: Y-90 microspheres; breast cancer; liver metastases; overall survival; prognostic score; radioembolization.