Novel Prognostic Index of High-Risk Prostate Cancer Using Simple Summation of Very High-Risk Factors

Cancers (Basel). 2021 Jul 12;13(14):3486. doi: 10.3390/cancers13143486.

Abstract

This study aimed to examine the role of very high-risk (VHR) factors (T3b-4 and Gleason score 9-10) for prognosis of clinically localized high-risk prostate cancer. We reviewed multi-institutional retrospective data of 1413 patients treated with radiotherapy (558 patients treated with external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) and 855 patients treated with brachytherapy (BT) ± EBRT. We introduced an index by simple summation of the number of VHR factors-VHR-0, VHR-1, and VHR-2. With median follow-up of 69.6 months, the 5-year biochemical disease free survival rate (bDFS), prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMSF) rates were 59.4%, 7.65%, and 83.2% for the VHR-2 group, respectively; 86.7%, 1.50%, and 95.4% for the VHR-1 group, respectively; and 93.1%, 0.12%, and 98.2% for the VHR-0 group, respectively. The VHR-2 group had significantly worse bDFS, PCSM, and DMSF than the VHR-0 (hazard ratios: 4.55, 9.607, and 7.904, respectively) and VHR-1 (hazard ratios: 1.723, 2.391, and 1.491, respectively) groups. The VHR-2 group could be identified as a super high-risk group compared with other groups, and could be a good candidate for clinical trials using multimodal intensified treatments. Simple summation of the number of VHR factors is an easy and useful predictive index for bDFS, PCSM, and DMSF.

Keywords: Gleason 9–10; T3b–4; brachytherapy; prostate cancer; very high-risk.